32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, UFC 285's Shevchenko by the numbers: It all adds up to domination, NBA Power Rankings: Kevin Durant's return could rock the West, What NBA Finals runs from LeBron, Giannis can teach Jayson Tatum, Oral history: When Barcelona, Real Madrid played four Clasicos in 18 days back in 2011. $16, Harrison Bader, NYY Batting ninth negates most of the value derived from the Yankees lineup, and batting ahead of Aaron Judge negates some of his speed. Part 9 gives you insight as to which players to grab and which ones to avoid in 2023. Ronald Acua Jr., ATL As predicted, he ran. $18, Anthony Santander, BAL I think maybe I like him too much, more than his .245/.300/.454 career deserves. $4. $17. He uses the whole field and his 20.7% Ks are probably going to improve playing every day. Its just that when so many are willing to go the extra buck, the bucks add up fast. Kepler is a fly-ball hitter but less than he used to be, but that doesnt explain much. Nick Castellanos, PHI Another fly-ball hitter prone to seasonal ebb and flow in his BA. A must-watch situation, but right now $3. PFA, Taylor Trammell, SEA See above. Happ has achieved at the highest level. He loves to run, thats obvious, and his team did not stop him despite multiple injuries and a so-so 72.5% success rate. Hes an Eno Sarris favorite, but hes more confident in the slider becoming a swing-and-miss offering than I am, which is why I put him more in the solid-if-unspectacular bucket (Nelson, not Eno) as opposed to a major upside sleeper. Even if he had excelled he posted a meager 51 wRC+ the sample size would still be far too small to make any worthwhile judgments. $1. The hype on Cruz last spring was pretty intense, no doubt pushing his ADP beyond this point in keeper leagues. Hell get his first taste of Triple-A after skipping it last year and there he will work to refine his stuff with a chance at returning to the majors in the summer. The Twins sat him regularly in an attempt to keep him healthy and that didnt work either. . $9. 2023 Fantasy Baseball Rankings . Triston McKenzie reduced his BB/9 from 4.35 to 2.07 in 2022, skyrocketing up fantasy rankings and boosting the . After 130 innings between the minors and majors last year, theres no reason he cant put up a full workload this year, especially with no one pushing him out of the rotation. Francisco lvarez | UT, NYM | 349 ADP He will come in catcher-eligible at some outlets, but he only played two of his five MLB games there, so the NFBC is listing him UT-only for now. A bump in velo to 93-96 mph has given his heater some more viability for the upper levels, though neither his slider nor his recently scrapped curveball have developed into a consistent breaking pitch just yet. Michael Harris, ATL Exposed is too strong, but he did rather disappear late and through the postseason. They knew he was fast and figured hed hit for average, but the power and discipline were suspect. He should bounce back in BABIP, as is his wont. 2022 fantasy baseball rankings and projections for redraft and dynasty leagues, compiled from the best and most-accurate sources in the industry. That is not abbondanza five-cat production, but it is a nice asset extended to 150 games. It's not as simple prioritizing the biggest discounts. Harris seems to have a problem recognizing balls and strikes, swinging at too many balls and not enough strikes. $6. Hes a lifetime .254 hitter. Eric Karabell makes bold fantasy-relevant predictions for each of the 15 American League teams. PFA, Mickey McDonald, OAK Non-prospect at 28. $19, one less in OBP leagues. He still strikes out too much and has trouble with slow stuff, so figure hell see more. $7. at 6 prospects for the Dodgers are a pair of 24-year-old arms who could be part of a youth movement in LA this year. Number of keepers: How many players can you keep each year, and must every team keep the same number? 6 prospects for the Dodgers, Cardinals will give Walker every opportunity to win a job, 2023 Projection Showdown THE BAT X vs Steamer wOBA Forecasts, Part 1. We all make mistakes but by all means let us correct them. $8. . I've been composing this list for a good many years now, and what I've learned during that time is that it works better as a fun thought exercise than an authoritative guide. Brandon Marsh, PHI This is where you want to beware the postseason hype that might inflate his price this year. Nootbaar is passive, and normally I frown when a hitter swings at only 56% of the strikes he sees, but then I saw his slash when he swung at the first pitch: .165/.195/.241. True, Gonzlez made little of those PAs, but he could rather easily platoon all year. A bigger key is strikeouts, and that remains to be seen. Hes going to play, as they love his range and arm. Even this does him little good as he swings at everything. $3. $25, two more in OBP leagues. Power looks steady at B+. There may be a cure, but its been three seasons now and hope dwindles. I dunno, if my model came up with that for 2023, Id call an editorial meeting. With all his injuries, not a target in AL leagues. Yeah, he's 40, but he was the best pitcher in 5x5 leagues last year and is likely to be again. These projections are then run through our Player Rater to create auction values/rankings for various league (MLB, AL-only, NL-only), team (e.g., 10, 12, 15), roster format (e.g., ESPN, Yahoo) and stat (e.g., 55, 66 OBP) settings. Plus, of course, hes pretty strictly platooned. Tough home park but he has hit in tough home parks before. Burleson is not their top prospect, that would be Jordan Walker, but its very possible that both are regulars by the end of this year. The 23-year-old righty was limited to just 76 innings last year thanks to a lat injury but dominated while healthy. Status. I wouldnt swing either. Andjar has earned a full shot, to hit anyway, but whether he ever gets one is another matter. And, of course, he plays streaky, which shows up repeatedly in his year-to-year numbers. $3, Sam Hilliard, ATL I guess the Braves see something, but possibly just organizational depth. Real power and real speed give him a real floor as long as the Cubs play him, which they mostly did. There arent enough players with todays four-man benches somebody has to play the whole game. DL Hall | LHP, BAL | 463 ADP The Os are giving him a shot at the rotation though his command profile still screams reliever! to me. For now, keep tabs on him and be prepared to pick him up as he nears his return sometime in the early summer. More value in mono leagues if he stays healthy, which he hasnt since 2018. Haniger is basically off limits if youre playing a maximum PA strategy in an NL league. The 2023 fantasy baseball season is rapidly approaching, and if you're looking for a particularly enticing challenge in the new year, consider a dynasty league! Doesnt walk either, so dont get too excited. Early drafters dont seem to be worried and thats fine, but should Soto be taken ahead of Yordan Alvarez or Vlad Jr.? He can be a multi-inning bullpen stud with tons of strikeouts or even work his way toward a closers role down the line even if he never gets a firm handle on the walks. Slashed .314/.371/.524 last year at three minor league levels. $11, Jorge Soler, MIA If hes finished it means he was finished after his age 28 season, and that would be pretty rare. Fair to say his days as a reliever are over after a year in which he proved to be the hardest-to-hit pitcher in baseball, which was a constant throughout his minor-league career as well. This too could be wrong, but I dont see the sense of him hitting .230 with nine home runs when he could hit .290 with three home runs. Its probably just me, sorry to burden you. Maybe Im wrong, as he played more last year than I thought he would. Burleson is perhaps more likely to start with the big club. Here's a look at our latest dynasty. Cade Cavalli | RHP, WAS | 456 ADP A shoulder injury limited his debut to just one uninspired outing instead of the month and a half he was slated to get. And he plays a mean rocknroll guitar. And the 21-year-old fueled that hype by hitting 33 home runs between . Still capable of helping us fill a hole. If thats wrong, Ruiz is a top reserve pick. PFA, Drew Waters, KC 27.5% Ks in the minors are too many for a power hitter, and way too many for a speedster. $14, Andrew Benintendi, CHW Good real player, but roto-limited if he doesnt land a prime lineup slot. PFA, Kole Calhoun, SEA Strikeouts way up at age 34, and the strong odds are that hes done. Schwarber is no great bargain at an ADP of 61, but he looks good to at least earn his pay. $6, Jack Suwinski, PIT Plenty of Three True Outcomes but unfortunately the Ks have the upper hand at this time. His speed is gone, but so what, Stanton is still what he is, warts and all. This is 1980s style, an extreme green light for 2023. Fantasy baseball draft season is in full swing. One last point, real quick: I'm highlighting only 50 players here. Strikeouts notwithstanding, hes not a .211 hitter hes a .264 hitter, because he continues to crush baseballs and because he is not an extreme fly-ball hitter. $5, Raimel Tapia, BOS A better roto player than a real player, which wont help him get another 433 PAs and so hell be less of a roto player. Todd Zola takes a look at what fantasy managers need to be aware of regarding the new schedule. The 70 PAs indicate some willingness. And yet, even with just 10 SBs, Robert is a fine pick in the fourth round, and thats where hes going. $6, Kik Hernndez, BOS Turns out that playing full-time for Boston did not make him a better hitter than when the Dodgers skimmed him all those years. PFA, Alex Call, WAS I guess 54/54 is notable in 523 minor league games, especially without a big strikeout problem in the majors or minors. $8. What are flukes are that he only slugged .368 at home and only slugged .377 against lefties. A great spring might change my mind, if it continues into late March, but right now hes a Reserve B, which means I dont get him since hell take money. As you drive it down. Then again, this is about the easiest problem for a hitter to solve. $8. He brings a similar risk/reward profile to Harris, but at less of a discount, and I do wonder if his poor plate discipline will hold him back in points leagues. Tristan H. Cockcroft's 9-part "Playbook" lays out how to go from fantasy baseball novice to expert in one season. Tremendous talent but given his struggles at the upper levels, very probably at least a year away. Who will win each 2023 conference tournament? Speedy, but .345 slugging in five minor league seasons limits him, and hell probably strike out too much to stick. $6, Mike Yastrzemski, SF Give him credit, as almost no one thought hed even make the majors much less succeed, but I fear he has settled into a player who is not good enough even to platoon. If hes pushing into the 20s with his HR and SB, no one will care if it comes with a .250s AVG. One of the better $1 outfield gambles this year. If he does ascend, I could see some relief work for him with that upper-90s heater capable of playing out of a major league bullpen right now. But that line is mighty impressive, and it translated to .260/.330/.500 with 4/2 in 32 major league games. If the Braves decide hes too much trouble they just might release him, if they cant trade him. This is not good. There hes definitely worth an OF4 slot assuming hes healthy going in. Listed below are my way-too-early rankings for next season, designed . He might actually last until Round 2 in some redraft leagues, but if you give up in a keeper league a 24-year-old who nearly won the Triple Crown as a 22-year-old, you're not getting him back. Bobby Witt Jr.'s arrival in the Kansas City Royals lineup has been one of the most anticipated debuts in Major League Baseball. Worry more that his strikeouts soared to 35.2%. Little guy who is unlikely to top 10-12 HRs in the majors at this time. Bobby Miller & Gavin Stone | RHPs, LAD | 480, 510 ADP. $26, Randy Arozarena, TB You wonder how long the Rays will let him lead the league in Caught Stealings its been two years in a row so expecting another 32 bags seems optimistic. Edward Olivares, KC Is he ever going to play? That said, theres no reason he cant pop 20+ HRs with a .250+ AVG as a strong side platoon first baseman. but in non-keeper leagues, he is a good asset. And yet he didnt run much last year, extra odd because the Rangers were the runningest team in baseball. Ty for the heads up, fixed it! Fantasy baseball dynasty rankings: Top 300 players for 2023 and beyond, KD stars with Booker in long-awaited Suns debut, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, No. Furthermore, he reached first base 52 times and attempted 14 stolen bases, and was successful 13 times. $21. Vargas tore up Triple-A (129 wRC+, 17 HR, 16 SB) but struggled to find his footing in a scant 50 plate appearance debut with just a 26 wRC+. The thing is, pitchers usually tempt batters down and away, and Gonzalez was especially good with stuff down and away. Kelenic played well in Triple-A, thus making another case for the generally low level of play there these days. Not safe from disappointment. But his glove and speed will earn him chances even if the drought continues. Age 23, excellent speed, a 315-game minor league slash of .294/.373/.419, with 91 SBs in those 315 games. This cost makes for an incredible discount for a guy likely to be drafted in Round 5 or so this year, but seeing as he's about to turn 30 and has major plate discipline issues, I question how long you'll get to savor said discount. It also keeps the scope of my hate limited no new hates just established ones all to the good. Im betting on a subpar season, even a return to utility status. The power is ready for primetime, though there could be some wicked swing-and-miss that yields a sub-.230 AVG. Get ahead of him with a breaking ball and hes basically back in the dugout. As a pure 80-grade runner, he could be a complete game changer on the basepaths even if the .240 ISO we saw in his debut doesnt maintain throughout a full season. $15, Ian Happ, CHC Hitting lefties better, and anytime anyone improves almost anything in the major leagues its significant. A strong spring might change my mind but it would have to be strong late in March, when the major leaguers are pitching and actually trying. Rutschman has the highest offensive potential of any catching prospect in the game and could settle in as an annual .280+/25+ threat with a great home ballpark. Its always hard to read the spring training tea leaves, but knowing that the Cardinals will give Walker every opportunity to win a job out of camp pushed him up this board. Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and contributes to ESPN's Daily Notes. Even in 2021, he had a .485 and a .650 among monthly splits that averaged out to his .816. Keeper Value Rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated. Lars Nootbaar, STL Only 70 PAs against lefties but his .855 OPS tells us they wont be a serious problem. Has some hitting ability, but its still questionable whether he has enough. Now 33, and the past two years have yielded .211/.322/.317. He should be hitting .250 with 35 HRs. Good contact at 14.3% Ks in the majors, and perhaps surprisingly hes been a 50% FB hitter. $15, Lourdes Gurriel, ARI Continues to get no respect. Dont get too hung up on the 1-for-2 SB success in his 132 big league plate appearances as he had a fantastic home-to-first time (4.19, 14th-highest total) and the new rule changes could help push him to 15+ SBs. Another story in mixed leagues. He is in line for the starting second base job and while his late-February finger fracture isnt expected to disrupt that, it is worth monitoring. Volpe is the better overall prospect (by quite a bit, in fact), but Peraza has a fantasy edge for this year because he is a year older, has already debuted, and is on the 40-man roster. Little evidence of a hit tool, though speed is still there. The Pirates never seem to have a plan other than churning minor leaguers up and down, so I guess we should expect the same. Definitely worth a buck if its clear hell make the team. Chase Silseth | RHP, LAA | 639 ADP Silseth showed flashes in a seven-start debut. But, of course, these things can change, and even if they dont his raw talent has overpowered his faults so far. Eloy Jimnez, CHW Quietly back on track double his numbers in 84 games and youve got a star. Alec Burleson, STL Power and good contact that held up in his 53-PA major league trial. 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